Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.005982 0.006860 0.007879 0.009163 0.010756 0.012697 0.015282
2025-11-23 0.004864 0.005962 0.007366 0.009343 0.012140 0.016106 0.022460
2025-11-30 0.004126 0.005269 0.006822 0.009176 0.012828 0.018633 0.029451
2025-12-07 0.003577 0.004702 0.006298 0.008851 0.013105 0.020524 0.036310
2025-12-14 0.003215 0.004329 0.005971 0.008725 0.013619 0.022939 0.045626
2025-12-21 0.003026 0.004175 0.005933 0.009036 0.014943 0.027381 0.063091
2025-12-28 0.002899 0.004093 0.005989 0.009503 0.016688 0.033536 0.092319
2026-01-04 0.002731 0.003925 0.005876 0.009637 0.017790 0.038777 0.126953
2026-01-11 0.002550 0.003716 0.005664 0.009539 0.018353 0.042931 0.165883
2026-01-18 0.002410 0.003561 0.005526 0.009560 0.019204 0.048506 0.228723
2026-01-25 0.002250 0.003357 0.005276 0.009308 0.019306 0.051760 0.289452
2026-02-01 0.002084 0.003131 0.004965 0.008879 0.018843 0.052781 0.338097
2026-02-08 0.001934 0.002929 0.004697 0.008550 0.018692 0.055536 0.433940
2026-02-15 0.001855 0.002846 0.004649 0.008708 0.020012 0.065915 0.770949
2026-02-22 0.001749 0.002709 0.004480 0.008557 0.020365 0.072411 1.213030
2026-03-01 0.001640 0.002556 0.004264 0.008262 0.020182 0.076117 1.764718
2026-03-08 0.001559 0.002449 0.004130 0.008148 0.020571 0.083849 3.261131
2026-03-15 0.001523 0.002421 0.004154 0.008430 0.022455 0.104627 15.133159
2026-03-22 0.001501 0.002418 0.004227 0.008854 0.025100 0.138413 5946.502710
2026-03-29 0.001455 0.002365 0.004189 0.008975 0.026633 0.167906 NaN
2026-04-05 0.001396 0.002284 0.004082 0.008886 0.027253 0.190382 NaN
2026-04-12 0.001349 0.002224 0.004017 0.008905 0.028397 0.225606 NaN
2026-04-19 0.001289 0.002132 0.003874 0.008677 0.028283 0.242594 NaN